---
title: "Bitcoin Has a ‘Logical’ Bounce Zone at $100,000"
url: https://diffcoin.com/bitcoin-has-a-logical-bounce-zone-at-100000/
description: "Key points:Bitcoin sees a modest rebound into the weekly candle close, but traders see key resistance overhead.BTC price action risks a much deeper drop…"
published: 2025-09-07
updated: 2025-09-07
author: "Mila"
site: "Diffcoin"
---

# Bitcoin Has a ‘Logical’ Bounce Zone at $100,000

**Key points:**

- Bitcoin sees a modest rebound into the weekly candle close, but traders see key resistance overhead.
- BTC price action risks a much deeper drop if bulls fail to reclaim that resistance zone.
- Fibonacci analysis hints that such a drop may not pass more than 10%.

Bitcoin (BTC) returned above $111,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as analysis saw “promising” recovery signs.

*BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView*

## BTC price “logical” bounce zone near $100,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD gaining around 1% on the day to hit local highs of $111,369.

The pair’s latest dip, which followed US macroeconomic data, saw bulls preserve $110,000 support.

“This is actually promising on $BTC,” crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe responded on X.

> “It makes a new higher low and holds the support at $110K. Would be great if we crack $112K and fire up the bull run.”

*BTC/USDT one-day chart with RSI data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X*

Market participants continued to hold diverging views over short-term BTC price action. Popular trader Cipher X suggested that $112,000 could spark new lows should bulls fail to reclaim it next.

> [$BTC](https://twitter.com/search?q=%24BTC&src=ctag&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) holds around $111K, but structure hints at a possible dip
> 
> If momentum stalls below $112K, I expect a pullback toward $108K support
> 
> Nothing major is happening across the market right now – it’s the weekend so best to stay patient and relaxed. [pic.twitter.com/JP8lUHoKNz](https://t.co/JP8lUHoKNz)
> 
> — Cipher X (@Cipher2X) [September 7, 2025](https://twitter.com/Cipher2X/status/1964619401514336514?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

“We either flip $113,000 and pump to new highs, or if we reject here we drop to $100,000,” fellow trader Crypto Tony added on the day, adopting a more categorical perspective based on the weekly chart.

Trader TurboBullCapital referenced the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at $115,035 and $101,760, respectively, as important levels to watch going forward.

“Lose the $107k area & the downside target becomes the $101k level which also happens to coincide with the MA200,” part of an X post concluded.

> “This is a logical area to expect a bounce.”

*BTC/USD one-day chart with 50, 200SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView*

## Bitcoin’s “worst case scenario” coincides with $100,000

As Cointelegraph reported, one theory on longer timeframes involves market makers on exchange order books.

***Related:*** ***Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis***

Short sellers and bears, it suggests, could be the victims of manipulation prior to a giant short squeeze event taking the market to new all-time highs. This would echo price action in late 2024.

In the meantime, Fibonacci retracement levels imply a maximum drop of 10%, again based on historical behavior since the end of last year.

“$BTC usually bottoms at 0.382 Fibonacci level. This happened in Q3 2024, Q2 2025 and will probably happen again,” popular trader ZYN observed.

> “For anyone wondering how low we can go, 0.382 Fibonacci level is currently around $100K. So the worst case scenario is a 10% drop before a 50% rally above $150,000.”

*BTC/USDT one-week chart. Source: ZYN/X*

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

[Source link](https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-taps-111-3k-forecast-10-dip-worst-case-scenario?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound)