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Will $3.8B Crypto Options Expiry Impact Market Momentum?

Will $3.8B Crypto Options Expiry Impact Market Momentum?

Around 30,700 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, June 6, and they have a notional value of roughly $3.2 billion.

This week’s event is much smaller than last week’s end-of-month expiry, so the impact on spot markets is likely to be minimal. They have already tanked by $150 billion over the past twelve hours.

Crypto Options Expiry

This week’s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.76, meaning that there are slightly more long contracts expiring than shorts as sentiment cools. There is also a max pain point of $105,000, around $2,000 above current spot prices, which is where most losses will be made on contract expiry.

Open interest (OI), or the value or number of BTC options contracts yet to expire, is highest at the $115,000 strike price, which has $1.7 billion, and there is an additional $1.6 billion in OI at the $140,000 strike price as bullish speculators remain confident, according to Deribit.

In a market update on Thursday, crypto derivatives provider Greeks Live said the group appears predominantly bearish, “with most traders expecting a continued correction in Bitcoin despite the recent upward movement.”

“Traders are watching the $105 to $109K resistance level for BTC while mentioning that volatility remains persistently low, creating challenging conditions for options traders.”

They added that short call positions, especially in the $108K to $109K range for June 7 expiry, are popular as “traders expect BTC to remain under this resistance.”

“Most are avoiding longing at current levels despite the temptation, with some expecting a deeper flush before considering long positions.”

In addition to today’s batch of Bitcoin options, there are around 241,000 Ethereum contracts that are also expiring today, with a notional value of $624 million, a max pain point of $2,600, and a put/call ratio of 0.69. This brings Friday’s combined crypto options expiry notional value to around $3.8 billion.

Crypto Market Outlook

Crypto markets have tanked 5.5% on the day with total capitalization sliding to $3.3 trillion, its lowest level for almost a month.

Bitcoin led the losses with a 2.7% dump to $101,000 before a slight recovery during the Friday morning Asian trading session. The asset has now lost almost 9% since its all-time high, but is teetering on support levels in six figures for now.

Ethereum’s momentum has ended with a 7% dump from over $2,600 to around $2,400, where it was trading at the time of writing. The altcoins were predictably in more pain with larger losses for Dogecoin, Sui, and Shiba Inu.

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